Have you noticed fewer hurricanes this year? 🌪️

🌪️ Has Hurricane Season Felt Quieter This Year?

Have you noticed fewer hurricanes so far this year?

According to NOAA’s latest outlook, the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season is now expected to be below normal, with a 75% chance of below-normal activity.

But what’s behind the quieter forecast?

One of the biggest factors is El Niño. As El Niño strengthens, it tends to increase vertical wind shear over the Atlantic, making it harder for tropical storms and hurricanes to form and intensify.

Of course, hurricane activity depends on several interacting ocean and atmospheric conditions, including:

🌊 Atlantic sea-surface temperatures

💨 Wind shear and trade-wind patterns

🌎 El Niño and other large-scale atmospheric conditions

That’s also why a seasonal hurricane forecast can only estimate overall activity. It can’t predict exactly when or where a hurricane will make landfall.

And a quieter season doesn’t mean there’s no risk.

NOAA emphasizes that it only takes one hurricane or tropical storm to cause serious impacts. With the main Atlantic hurricane season activity typically concentrated from August through October, now is still a good time to review your preparedness plan.

🔋 What’s in your hurricane preparedness plan?

Before a storm arrives, what do you make sure you have ready?

Share your hurricane preparedness tips in the comments below. 👇

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